T.M. Selection: MIA @ DEN - UNDER

I am on the UNDER in the Miami Heat @ Denver Nuggets game on Thursday. Almost nobody expected this matchup in the finals, but the time has come and it's time for Game 1. Denver has looked nearly unbeatable over the course of the postseason so far. The started out with a gentleman's sweep against Min, beating the Suns in six and finishing off the West with a sweep against Lebron and the Lakers. All of this after they dominated the regular season as well.

On the other hand, the heat took a completely different path through this season. Ending up as the last time to get in, they managed to pull off a huge upset in beating the Bucks in the opening round. Then, they took care of the Knicks in a hard fought series. After going up 3-0 against Boston, they blew it, but ended up winning Game 7 on the road.

I don't expect either team to necessarily be tired coming into this game, but I expect a slower paced game and for this years Finals to be pretty low scoring across the board. Denver likes to push the ball, but Miami's defense should be able to hold up against the fast breaks and quick baskets. I've got the UNDER in Game 1.

T.M. Prediction: 111-101 Nuggets.

Line: O/U 219.5

Line Parameter: play until 218.5..