#461/462 ASA PLAY ON 10* Over 51 Points – Green Bay @ Indianapolis, Sunday at 4:25 PM ET - Indy’s defense has some impressive overall numbers. They rank #1 in the NFL in total defense allowing 290 YPG. The problem is, we feel those defensive numbers are inflated because they’ve only played ONE team this year that is currently ranked in the top 10 in total offense. That was a Minnesota team that currently ranks 8th in total offense, however that game was way back on September 20th when Minnesota was still finding their footing. The Vikes are MUCH better now offensively than they were back then. Facing the Bears, Bengals, Jags, and Jets (4 teams ranked 22nd or lower in YPP offense) tends to pad your defensive numbers. On a similar note, the Colt’s pass defense has very good numbers but they’ve played just ONE QB ranked in the top 10 in QBR. On Sunday they face Aaron Rodgers who ranks #1 in the NFL in QBR this season. The Packers have scored at least 30 points in 6 of their 9 games this year and are off a subpar offensive effort vs Jacksonville last week (24 points in high winds) so we expect a very good performance on that side of the ball. They are fairly healthy as well with RB Jones getting back to full strength, WR Adams cleared to play and WR Lazard ready to go as well. The Indy offense is rolling right now as well scoring at least 30 in 3 of their last 4 games. They face a GB defense that has looked better the last 2 weeks holding Jacksonville (terrible offense) to 20 points and SF (without their QB or RB) to 17 points. Prior to that when they actually faced decent offenses they allowed 30+ points to TB, Minnesota, and New Orleans. Perfect playing conditions in the dome help to make this a high scoring affair. In their indoor games this year where weather was not a factor Indy is averaging 29 PPG. For GB they’ve played 3 dome games this season and scored 43, 37, and 35 points in those games. Take the OVER