MLB Total Blowout
(MLB) San Francisco vs. St. Louis, 07/18/2021 2:15 PM, Score: 1 - 2
Total: 8.50 | -106.00 Over
Result: Loss
#909/910 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Over 8.5 Runs – San Francisco Giants @ St Louis Cardinals, Sunday at 2:15 PM ET – Yesterday's game finished a 3-1 Cardinals win but 7 of 11 meetings heading into yesterday were games that went over the total. The pitching match-up today should get the bats going again in this one. Johnny Cueto has had a lackluster season overall and the veteran right-hander has particularly had it rough on the road this season for the Giants. Cueto has a 5.64 ERA in road starts and only 2 of the 6 outings resulted in an under. He faced the Cardinals right before the break and they got to him for 4 earned runs on 9 hits in 6 innings on the mound. Seeing the Cardinals again and this time at St Louis will likely mean even more struggles for Cueto. The St Louis starter in this one is Wade LeBlanc. He struggled badly in his final start before the break and now has 6 walks and just 4 strikeouts over his last 2 outings. LeBlanc had a horrible April with the Orioles. Then, after coming to the Cardinals, the southpaw showed some early success but reality is quickly setting in and we will not hesitate to fade him here before the markets make an adjustment on him. San Francisco, before yesterday's loss, had won 5 straight games and scored an average of 6 runs per game. St Louis, prior to yesterday, had scored 5 or more runs in 4 of 6 games! The bats come back to life this afternoon for both clubs and plenty of runs are likely in this one given all of the above factors. This total is in the 8.5 range and our computer math model shows this one getting into double digits in runs scored with each club enjoying success at the plate and having a solid shot of getting to 5 runs apiece which, of course, would mean at least 11 runs (6-5 final at a minimum) in this one. Bet Over