Point Spread: -2.50 | -110.00 Kansas City (Home)
After going a perfect 7-0 (100%) with all of our NFL picks in Week 4, we're definitely looking to duplicate that success in Week 5 (and all the way until the Super Bowl!)
Here we're taking a long hard look at the Kansas City Chiefs and Buffalo Bills. I think that KC is worth a second look with this line at under a FG.
Coming into this season, the Chiefs had eclipsed their team season wins total for eight straight years, so they pretty much have to run the table at 2-2 to manage that in 2021/22.
KC though comes in off a great 42-30 road win over Philadelphia, a game that it had to play from behind in. Patrick Mahomes now has 1,218 passing yards, 14 touchdowns and four interceptions this season.
Josh Allen and the Bills have a tough two-game stretch here, with a road contest at the Titans next. Allen has 1,055 yards passing, nine touchdowns and two interceptions.
These teams are loaded with talent, but the Chiefs are 7-2 ATS in their last nine after a SU/ATS road victory in which they scored 40 or more points in.
The Bills have plenty of top-rated athletes like Allen and Stefon Diggs, but I feel this one just means more to the .500 Chiefs.
Look for Kansas City to build off its big second half in which it pulled away from the Eagles in Week 4.
Consider the CHIEFS at home on Sunday night in Week 5.
Good luck, NP