Total: 9.00 | 103.00 Under
These opening series are the best of five and Boston has a chance to eliminate AL East winning Tampa with a victory today.
The first game of this series stayed well UNDER in the Rays' 5-0 victory, but the last two have sailed well OVER the number, with Boston taking Game 2 by a score of 14-6, and then the Red Sox also holding on for the 6-4 win in Game 3.
Eduardo Rodriguez got roughed up in the opener, allowing two runs over 1 2/3's innings.
Whoever gets the start for Tampa, I still like the "under" here. As primarily a situational handicapper, this one definitely falls into our system.
As note that Tampa has in fact seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of its last ten after back-to-back losses to an opponent.
Boston has seen the total go UNDER in seven of its last ten after playing to back-to-back OVERS.
While the last two games have sailed OVER the number, all signs point to Game 4 finally being more of a "DUEL."
The play is the UNDER.
Good luck, NP