MLB 5*
(MLB) Chi Cubs vs. Detroit, 05/16/2021 1:10 PM, Score: 5 - 1
Money Line: 125.00 Detroit (Home)
Result: Loss
Cubs (Hendricks) @ Tigers (Boyd) 1:10 PM ET
Game# 927-928
Play On: Tigers +125 (5*)

During recent seasons, Kyle Hendricks has been Jekyll and Hyde when it comes to home and away starts. He’s been solid at Wrigley Field and inconsistent when pitching elsewhere. Hendricks has recorded a poor 6.23 ERA and 1.67 WHIP in 7 starts this season, and 6 of those took place at home. During his lone road start, Hendricks allowed 7 earned runs, 11 hits, and 3 homers in only 3 2/3 innings pitched at Atlanta. Furthermore, Hendricks has averaged only 4.9 innings pitcher per start in 2021. The total in today’s game is 8.0 and that’s noteworthy. The Cubs are 2-10 this season whenever there’s been a total of 8.0 or 8.5.

The Tigers Matt Boyd has been terrific in 7 starts this season while posting a 1.94 ERA and 0.94 WHIP. Boyd is an extremely profitable 14-8 in his career team starts as a money line underdog of +125 to +175. The Tigers bullpen leaves much to be desired. However, Boyd has lasted 6.0 innings or more in 5 of his last 6 starts. Don’t look now, but the lowly Tigers are 5-1 in their last 6. Detroit has recently heated up offensively as well while averaging 6.6 runs scored per game over their previous 9 outings.

Any American League money line home underdog of +100 or greater (Tigers) with a starting pitcher (Boyd) who has a season ERA of 4.20 or better, and they’re facing a starting pitcher (Hendricks) who has lasted an average of 5.0 innings pitched per outing, resulted in those sizable home underdogs going 36-14 (72%) since 1997. The average money line in those games was +120.5 and bettors who risked $100 on each of them have made a net profit of $2970. Bet on the Tigers for a 5* wager.