CFB 5*
(NCAAF) Texas A&M vs. Missouri, 10/16/2021 12:00 PM, Score: 35 - 14
Point Spread: 10.00 | -105.00 Missouri (Home)
Result: Loss
Texas A&M @ Missouri 12:00 PM ET
Game# 171-172
Play On: Missouri +10.0 (5*)

Texas A&M is coming off last week’s huge upset win as a 18.5-point home underdog over then top ranked Alabama. Despite that colossal upset, the Aggies are just 1-2 in SEC action while allowing 28.0 points and 467.7 yards per game. The one thing that 3-3 Missouri has done consistently well this season is move the football. The Tigers are averaging 37.8 points scored and 467.0 yards gained per game. Another potential contributing factor to the home underdog covering this contest is turnovers. Missouri has +4 turnover margin thus far while Texas A&M is at -4. I’m looking for A&M to not even come close to matching their intensity they displayed at home versus Alabama last week. The college football betting angle below further supports that prediction.

Any college football conference home underdog of 11.5 or less, versus an opponent (Texas A&M) with a win percentage of .800 or worse that’s coming off a conference home underdog of 10.0 to 22.0 points straight up win, resulted in those conference home underdogs going 20-3 ATS (87%) since 1980. Those underdogs also went 20-11 SU in those contests. Bet Missouri plus the points.