NCAAF - Virginia vs Wisconsin
(NCAAB) Wisconsin vs. Virginia,
11/20/2023 6:00 PM, Score: 65 - 41
Point Spread: -2.50 | -105.00
Neutral site game I'm Florida for these two teams, and it's bound to be a defensive matchup. The problem with the total is that it's under 130 and I hate taking those bets, especially on a Neutral site tournament setting because it's much different than playing home or away. What we can bank on, is Wisconsin being the worse offense in this matchup leading to the reason why Virginia is favorited and in my numbers should be favored by 5+ when if you remember the last time we had money on a Wisconsin game, it was at Providence and they were DESTROYED because of the lack of identity and true scorers available (we cashed the under, but it was high enough to take the Under then). Now the bookies are caught up to the poor offensive talent of Wisconsin but the defense can do enough to keep games lower total..... but we are taking Virginia in this spot, as they are the better defense as well as the better Offense, averaging 73.8 points and has only allowed over 51 points to Florida (who average 85 points this season). It's clear we can't trust Wisconsin to generate points at the rate Virginia will and until shown they can actually stop a team from scoring 65+ I don't even think they have as good of defense as advertised. Even in the bounceback game following the loss from Providence, they hosted Robert Morris (1-2 before Wisconsin won) and they let them score 68, only winning by 10 and didn't cover the spread as -20 favorites. This team is not on Virginia's level.
Official Play: Virginia -2.5
Side Bet: Under 127.5