it is a Battle for the Little Brown Jug when the Michigan Wolverines and Minnesota Golden Gophers face off on Saturday. Michigan is 5-0 this season but just 1-3-1 ATS. They are coming off a 45-7 beatdown of Nebraska. Minnesota is 3-2 and 1-4 ATS this season. They are coming off a 35-24 win over Louisiana. 35-24 last Saturday. It was a significant bounce-back win on the heels of consecutive losses to North Carolina and Northwestern. The win snapped a two-game losing streak. Michigan is one of the top teams in the country. Even when 100% healthy, Minnesota doesn't have the talent to stay with Michigan for the whole game. It gets worse if their leading rusher can't go or is limited. Minnesota will struggle to run the ball no matter who is in the backfield as Michigan' is ranked 14th in stopping the run. Minnesota is 119th in third-down defense and 102nd in red zone scoring defense so expect Michigan to run the ball with Corum and they should be able to move the ball through the air with McCarthy as well. Michigan’s defense has not allowed any opponent into double digits yet this season, allowing 6 points per game. Michigan averaged over 30 points for the first four games and put up 45 last week. I expect them to score in the high 30's in this one. Laying less than 3 touchdowns is doing us a favor.

Play on Michigan. This is a 3% play