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ANGELS ML (+120) vs MARINERS
(MLB) Angels (LAA) vs. Mariners (SEA),
Money Line: 120.00 Angels (LAA) (Away)
Money Line: 120.00 Angels (LAA) (Away)
4/30 Prediction:
Tyler Anderson has been a pleasant surprise in 2025, pitching to a 2.60 ERA and 1.05 WHIP. He ranks in the 75th percentile in xBA (.214), 72nd in average exit velocity (87.9 MPH), and 74th in hard-hit percentage (35.1%). He sports a 26.2% K% against the current Mariners lineup, as well.
Seattle has been better than expected, but it's too hot for my taste. I'm hesitant to back Emerson Hancock, who sports a 7.71 ERA and .293 xBA, ranking in the 5th percentile in chase percentage (19.1%). He's also in the 22nd percentile in whiff percentage (21.3%), 28th in barrel percentage (10.5%), and 31st in hard-hit percentage (44.7%).
The Halos have earned my respect with a solid start to the season. I'll take their side on Wednesday at +120 odds versus the M's!
Tyler Anderson has been a pleasant surprise in 2025, pitching to a 2.60 ERA and 1.05 WHIP. He ranks in the 75th percentile in xBA (.214), 72nd in average exit velocity (87.9 MPH), and 74th in hard-hit percentage (35.1%). He sports a 26.2% K% against the current Mariners lineup, as well.
Seattle has been better than expected, but it's too hot for my taste. I'm hesitant to back Emerson Hancock, who sports a 7.71 ERA and .293 xBA, ranking in the 5th percentile in chase percentage (19.1%). He's also in the 22nd percentile in whiff percentage (21.3%), 28th in barrel percentage (10.5%), and 31st in hard-hit percentage (44.7%).
The Halos have earned my respect with a solid start to the season. I'll take their side on Wednesday at +120 odds versus the M's!
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CUBS RUN LINE (-1.5) vs PIRATES
(MLB) Cubs (CHC) vs. Pirates (PIT),
Point Spread: -1.50 | -105.00 Cubs (CHC) (Away)
Point Spread: -1.50 | -105.00 Cubs (CHC) (Away)
Full game preview: https://winnersandwhiners.com/games/mlb/4-30-2025/chicago-cubs-vs-pittsburgh-pirates-prediction-5830/
I wagered on Chicago to cover the 1.5-run line on Wednesday.
Matt Boyd has been superb in 2025, ranking in the 86th percentile in barrel percentage (3.4%), 76th percentile in hard-hit percentage (34.5%), and the 77th percentile in chase percentage (31.6%). The Pirates slash .218 BA/.278 OBP/.332 SLG/.610 OPS versus left-handers with a 28.9 percent K%.
Carmen Mlodzinski has been less effective, pitching to a near-seven ERA and .326 opponent BA. He ranks in the 19th percentile in both whiff percentage (20.8%) and strikeout percentage (17.3%). Chicago slashes .272/.341/.492/.832 away from Wrigley Field and has 80 extra-base hits against right-handed pitchers.
The Cubbies should have enough offensive firepower to win by at least two runs against the Buccos!
I wagered on Chicago to cover the 1.5-run line on Wednesday.
Matt Boyd has been superb in 2025, ranking in the 86th percentile in barrel percentage (3.4%), 76th percentile in hard-hit percentage (34.5%), and the 77th percentile in chase percentage (31.6%). The Pirates slash .218 BA/.278 OBP/.332 SLG/.610 OPS versus left-handers with a 28.9 percent K%.
Carmen Mlodzinski has been less effective, pitching to a near-seven ERA and .326 opponent BA. He ranks in the 19th percentile in both whiff percentage (20.8%) and strikeout percentage (17.3%). Chicago slashes .272/.341/.492/.832 away from Wrigley Field and has 80 extra-base hits against right-handed pitchers.
The Cubbies should have enough offensive firepower to win by at least two runs against the Buccos!
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David's 1% MLB Free Pick
(MLB) Cardinals (STL) vs. Reds (CIN),
Total: 9.50 | 100.00 Over
Total: 9.50 | 100.00 Over
We really like the over in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider how hot the Reds have been at the plate and that Cardinals' scheduled starter Miles Mikolas is overvalued after holding the Braves to one run over six innings in his last start.
This is a 1% play on the over.
This is a 1% play on the over.
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