Pittsburgh and Indianapolis enter the week in those 6th and 7th playoff spots in the conference, but four other teams share a 7-6 SU record with them. Both teams will be going with a backup QB this week. The Colts offense ranks 8th in Points per Game at 24.2 and the Colts defense ranks 29th in Opponent Points per Game at 25.4. Those two factors tend to put Colts games over the number. They have gone over the number in three straight and in six of the past eight games. Pittsburgh hasn't scored more than 20 points in over a month. Pittsburgh has gone under in 10 of their 13 games, as they rely on their defense to make plays. The Steelers are still only 27th in scoring. Both teams are on their backup quarterbacks, and will probably rely more on the ground game to attempt to keep this game close. I am looking for a low-scoring AFC battle and I don’t see Pittsburgh doing enough to put this game over the number.

Play on the UNDER. This is a 3% play.