Miami has gone over in 30 of 53 games this season. The Marlins are tied for 28th in runs per game at 3.77. When playing on the road it drops to 3.26 runs per game. Arizona has gone under in 27 of their 52 games with 2 pushes. The Diamondbacks are eighth in runs per game at 4.73. At home they score 4.54 runs per game. Both pitchers have been pitching well and these two teams have managed just 8 total runs over the first two games. The under is 7-3 in their past 10 head-to-head encounters, with their eight games dating back to the start of 2023 seeing their meetings average just six runs per game. The Marlins have allowed just three runs in their past four road games. The Diamondbacks have scored just 16 runs in their last eight home games. I like the UNDER in this one.

Play on the UNDER. This is a 3% play.