The Miami Marlins and the Milwaukee Brewers open a three game series. The last time these teams met the Marlins took two of three. The Marlins are 29th in runs per game at 3.57. Trevor Rogers will take the mound for the Marlins. Rogers is 1-9 this season with a 4.59 ERA, and a 1.550 WHIP. Rogers hasn't been charged with more than two runs in any of his July starts. The Brewers are 8th in scoring at 4.77 runs per game but have lost Christian Yelich to a back injury. Freddy Peralta gets the start for the Brewers. He is 6-5 this season with a 3.88 ERA and a 1.165 WHIP. He has allowed more than three runs in just one of his last six starts. The Marlins are not a good road team. Overall, Miami is the worst offensive team in the National League. The Brewers have the third-lowest bullpen ERA. The Brewers got to Rogers last time out and I expect that to happen again.

Play on Milwaukee minus 1.5 runs. This is a 3% play!