I think the Patriots defense is a bit overrated in this matchup given the look at where the line opened and where it is now. The weather will have little to no effect on these teams play due to the fact they both come from frigid fields, and the patriots last two home wins make them look as if they are a force to be reckoned with, but the deeper numbers say otherwise. Justin Field killed the patriots at home in week 7 and the Lamar torched them as well; and the commonality is that experienced runners and guess who can make and extend plays with their feet will have success against this patriots decent pass rush. I don't think the Patriots will be able to stop the more well rounded Bills team who have found themselves in a must win situation inside their own division instead of only worrying about the Chiefs and getting the BYE week. Patriots having extra time from Thanksgiving to prepare for this game will not be enough to upset this bills team. I'm happy to take the 3.5

Official Play: Bills -3.5

Side Bet: Devin Singletary over 51.5 rushing yards