Two things we can count on in this matchup: More than 20 points will be scored by Duke (Pittsburgh has allowed more than 20 points to home teams in 4 of their 5 road games), and Pittsburgh struggling on the road offensively (Pittsburgh has only scored more than 17 points once in the five away games played this season. I'm surprised this line has gone down from 6 to 4.5, but I'll take the over as a safer bet in this one as these teams play each other close to the vest regardless of record and Pittsburgh are 8-1 in this match-up. Duke could still cover this spread because Pitt are 0-4 on the road ATS, but I do see Pittsburgh finding some success against Dukes defense that has seen the total go over since Riley Leonard has been out of the game (3-0 to the over). This matxhup has also gon over in 7 of the last 9 meetings.

Official Play: Over 41.5

Side Bet: Duke -4