I'm on the Lions -6 vs Tampa Bay for these reasons:

- Lions just played the rams First Round, and that was much greater competition than the Buccaneers coming into this rematch @ Detroit after they lost to Detroit in Tampa Bay 20 to 6 earlier in the season. The Buccs offense is far less frightening than the Rams weapons.

- Buccs are 1-4 on the road vs teams who are above .500 (losing to 4 of the teams that made the playoffs, except the Packers)

- Baker Mayfield is the 6th most sacked QB in the league, and we just seen the pressure Detroit can put on a less mobile QB like Baker.

- Buccs beat the Eagle's badly, but we can't ignore the Stat-line of Devonta Smith who put up 8 Receptions for 148 yards as the #1 WR due to AJ Browns absence. Amon Ra and Josh Reynolds just combined for 190 yards and they should be able to replicate that vs a poor Buccs Defense allowing the 4th most Recieving Yards to WRs, and 3rd most yards to the TE.

- BUCCANEERS CANT RUN THE BALL. They are the worst rushing team in the league. This makes the offense of Tampa Bay less dimensional and easy to add more help in coverage, knowing that Buccs are going to air it out more than pounding the ball on the ground. Rashaad white has been good in the passing game as a running back, but the Lions are #2 in the league against pass catching Running Backs.

- Let's see what this Buccs Defense can do against a two horse Running Back Duo in Montgomery and Gibbs who both struggled vs LA, but both had Touchdowns, and with the Lions being well versed in both areas of the pass and run, should be able to confuse and get Tampas defense out of rhythm.

Official Play: Lions -6

Side Bet: Chris Godwin over 5.5 Receptions

Side Bet: Jahmyr Gibbs Anytime Touchdown

Hail Mary: Under 49.50