I'm on Duke -5.5 @ NC State for these reasons:

- Duke and UNC are tied for the conference best record and #1 seed for the Conference Tournament. Both need to win their last games before this weekend when they play on Saturday for the last game of the regular season.

- Duke beat NC State 71-67 in the last meeting, but Duke only made 2 3pt shots that game. Shooting 11% from long range. That will not happen again, even on the road.

- NC State played a solid game, only turning the ball over 6 times but that will regress too in this rematch. And NC State only went to the line to shoot 8 free throws the entire game. That's great defense by Duke, who doesn't foul alot and has elite defense which should be their focal point again in this road spot.

- This is Dukes last game till they Play UNC. They can go all out here and rest for the season finale, which I think they will, while NC state will be traveling to Pittsburgh their last game on Saturday.

- Going with the better rebounding unit, better defensive unit, the better 3pt shooting unit, the least fouling unit on the court.

Official Play: Duke -5.5

Side Bet: Over 149.5