I'm on the over of 8 runs in this Yankees @ Bluejays matchup, for these reasons:

- Carlos Rodon is on the mound for the Yankees and he's allowed 23 hits, and 13 runs in the last 15 innings pitched. An extremely hittable Pitcher averaging 0.86 strikeouts in his last 3 starts is not a recipe for a bounceback in this road spot.

- Jose Berrios is starting for the Blue Jays and he only has 68 strikeouts in his 97 innings pitched this season.... what are we supposed to put faith in, if he can't limit hits at the plate? Especially when your fielding unit is 24th in the league, and tied for 8th in most in errors. When Berrios is hit, runs occur. He only has 8 strikeouts in his last 3 starts, and he's bound to be hit a ton in this matchup vs a top flight batting rotation in The Yankees.

- Bluejays are better bats at home. Averaging 3.6 runs per game in the last 2 series played in Toronto. They are also the second hardest to strikeout in the MLB, though they are 27th in runs scored.

- Aaron Judge (29 at bats) and Cabrera (14 at bats) are batting .429 and .421 against Berrios, and only have been struck out 4 and 3 times. They should have good numbers again tonight against Jose.

Official Play: Over 8 runs

Side Bet: Yankees Moneyline

Hail Mary: Jose Berrios over 2.5 Runs Allowed