I'm on the Redsox -1.5 Runline @ Miami Marlins game one, for these reasons:

- Kutter Crawford is 1-2 on the road this season, and has a 2.88 ERA / 1.16 WHIP away from home. He's had a bad string of showings, but recently handled a tough Yankee rotation and has 7 or more strikeouts in the last 2 starts as well as a total of 5 runs in those 12 innings. He's due for another win against a poor hitting Marlins team, bottom tier in Hits, Runs, and Bases Stolen.

- Velente Bellozo is making his first start, and as we always do, is fade the first start of pitchers vs good batting rotations like the Redsox. Also, besides new pitchers, we fade batting rotations that don't support their pitchers, and it's easy to believe that once the Redsox eventually get go Bellozo, it will be hard for the Miami Bats to catch up, and I highly expect Bellozo to be give up runs before Kutter does.

- Redsox are 4-0-1 in theory last 5 series (There was a tie 1-1 series vs Toronto Bluejays. 3rd game was suspended)

Official Play: Redsox Runline

Side Bet: Redsox Team Total over 4.5 runs

Hail Mary: Under 8.5