I’m on the Chiefs Moneyline here at home vs the Buffalo Bills for these reasons:

- I don’t trust the bills rushing defense. We have seen teams have much success against them, especially the ravens, rams, and even the Broncos. This Buffalo defense is built for pass rushing, not run stopping. There will be lots of opportunities for the chiefs in the run game as well as the play action with their mobility at QB and even speedy receivers rushing the ball on jet sweeps.

- The Bills barely won last game. They needed 3 turnovers forced and still almost went into overtime. Goodluck getting 2 off Mahomes and his team because they don’t fumble and Mahomes doesn’t throw interceptions like Lamar does.

- Tyler Bass is not the kicker you want in a game where it’s predicted to be a close game. Butker is the more reliable guy, the chiefs have blocked plenty of FGs this season, and I do not think he will have many attempts anyways, being that this will be a TDs over FGs game. That doesn’t bode well for Bass if he goes so long in this game without attempts especially if he has to kick a 58+ yarder.

- Not impressed with the Bills Offensive weapons. If Chiefs play against the run, the Bills will have to rely on thier receivers, who I don’t think are capable of carrying the load for them. Kincaid has been wishy washy this season, Coleman is a toss up, Amari Cooper is banged up and will be against the best cornerback for the chiefs Trent Mcduffie who is very physical and fast. Shakir, James Cook, and the Tight ends are the best hope for the Bills and that just won’t be enough.

- Lastly, the refs are going to give KC all the calls. We know this, it’s obvious, and even though they were exposed, count on the bills to have more penalties and yards lost from flags.

Official Play: Chiefs Moneyline

Side Bet: Travis Kelce Anytime TD

Hail Mary: Under 48.50