I’m on the over of 211.5 in this Heat @ Nets game for these reasons:

- Miami traded for Andrew Wiggins. This is an upgrade in shooting and playmaking ability for the Heat. Andrew Wiggins is a more athletic and versatile option for the Heat, and this will only make their team more efficient from the field, especially with the youth and shooters around him which we’ve already seen him amplify his old team of shooters in Golden State.

- This game has went not gone over this total, but both teams are in better shape than they were roster-wise in the last 3 meetings. Cam Johnson missed the last meeting, Jimmy Butler didn’t play in the last 2 meetings, but now each team are in better shape than before, so I expect more scoring in this game and each team getting over 100 points. That’s essentially all we have to watch for in this game and with a total this low I can’t take the under.

- Miami play worse defense on the road, this is going to be the factor in why I’m mainly on the over. They’ve allowed 100+ points to 4 of the last five home teams and they are finally playing a team they should be able to beat and put up 110 or more.

Official Play: Over 211.5

Side Bet: Tyler Herro Over 22.5 points

Hail Mary: Heat -6.5