I’m on the Under of 234 in this matchup of Spurs @ Timberwolves for these reasons:

- Timberwolves are 20th offensively, Spurs are rated 16th offensively but will continue to lower without Wemby available for the remainder of the season.

- Timberwolves are top 10 defensively, and have the healthier team to outlast the Spurs in the long term if this game, mounting a big lead and sticking to their defensive guns like they usually do when the half a substantial lead. The Timberwolves are not a team that plays at a fast pace, and they aren’t playing a very decent perimeter defending Spurs team.

- The last 3 meetings have gone under this total and this is the highest game total for this matchup since 2022.

- Timberwolves are 6th in three point defense, Spurs shoot 34.9% from deep, that’s 21st worst in the league.

Official Play: Under 234

Side Bet: Jaden McDaniels under 14.5 points

Hail Mary: Timberwolves -11.5