The Orioles are coming into this game playing very well in their recent games as they have won their last 3 straight as well as 4 of their last 5 games. Their offense has been very good in these games as they just beat the Blue Jays 13-3 in their last game, but now they are going up against a Blue Jays team that will be hungry to bounce back after that bad loss and they also have a very good offense that will wake up at home for this game. Grayson Rodriguez is starting for the Orioles here and he is 2-2 with a 6.21 ERA this season. He is coming off of a good start but he has not been pitching well this season and has been consistently allowing runs as he has allowed at least 2 earned runs in 7 of his last 8 starts. He has also allowed at least 4 earned runs in 2 of his last 4 as well as 3 of his last 6 starts and he has the potential to get blown up here as he allowed 8 earned runs in 2 of those starts. Yusei Kikuchi is starting for the Blue Jays here and he is 8-3 with a 3.79 ERA this season. He has been very good this season and has not been allowing many runs. He has allowed just 1 earned run or less in each of his last 3 straight starts as well as 5 of his last 7 starts, and he has also allowed just 2 earned runs or less in 9 of his last 11 starts. He is going to continue pitching well here at home like he has been doing all season and the Blue Jays will get up for this game after that bad loss. The Jays have also won 3 of their last 4 games with Kikuchi starting and their offense has scored at least 5 runs in 3 of those games, including 8 runs scored in his last start. The Jays are going to be hungry to bounce back here and at least try to salvage the split in this series. The Blue Jays will win this game at home.