The Guardians are coming into this game with a 12-6 record this season and they have been playing well in their recent games, but they are coming off of a 2-0 loss in their last game and their offense was completely shut out in that game. They are going up against a Red Sox team that is 10-9 this season and has not been playing great in their recent games, but they are going to have some confidence from that win now that they have a chance to win this game and split the series. They have struggled a bit recently but they have still won 3 of their last 5 games with their offense scoring at least 5 runs in 3 of those games. Carlos Carrasco is starting for the Guardians in this game and he is 0-1 with a 3.55 ERA this season. He allowed 3 earned runs in his 1st start of the season and has only allowed 1 earned run in each of his 2 starts since then as he is off to a good start this season, but he still has not had a scoreless outing and has not made it past 5 innings as well. Carlos Carrasco has also been awful at Fenway park throughout his career as he pitched there once last season with the Mets and allowed 5 runs in 2 innings, but he has also allowed at least 5 runs in each of his last 3 starts at Fenway as well as allowing 22 runs total and 44 hits in his 6 starts at Fenway in his career. The Red Sox have Brennan Bernardino starting here and he is 0-1 with a 1.69 ERA this season. He has pitched well this season but he is also a reliever and will likely not go very deep into this game. This will likely be a bullpen day for the Red Sox, but they have not had a bad bullpen this season and they did shut out the Guardians in their last game as well. This is going to be another game where the Guardians struggle to score runs and they will not be able to keep up with the Red Sox offense as the Red Sox are going to light up Carrasco in this park as they usually do. The Red Sox will win this game at home and split the series with the Guardians.