The Red Sox are coming into this game with a 63-56 record this season and have not been great in their recent games. They have lost 5 of their last 7 games and their pitching has not been great, allowing 48 runs in their last 7 games. They are going up against an Orioles team that is 71-50 this season and has been better in their recent games. They have won 3 of their last 5 games and they are pushing to keep the top spot in the AL East as they are currently tied with the Yankees. Zach Eflin is starting for the Orioles in this game and he is 8-7 with a 3.83 ERA this season. He has been pitching very well recently as he has allowed 3 earned runs or less in each of his last 4 starts, and he has only allowed 2 earned runs total in his 2 starts since joining the Orioles. Nick Pivetta is starting for the Red Sox in this game and he is 5-7 with a 4.44 ERA this season. He pitched better in his last start as he only allowed 2 earned runs, but he has still allowed 12 earned runs total in his last 3 starts and he has not been very consistent this season either. He has struggled more at home as well, allowing at least 4 earned runs in 3 of his last 4 starts there and has allowed at least 3 earned runs in all of those. Between Pivetta and the bullpen, the Orioles are going to score runs in this game at home and this is a big series for them to keep their top spot in the division. The Orioles will win this game at home.