Porto is coming into this match with a trend to the over in their recent matches. They have gone over 2.5 goals in their last 4 straight matches and their attack has been on fire in these. They have scored at least 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches as well as 16 of their last 17 matches going back before the season started. Their defense has not been great though as they have allowed 6 goals in their last 5 matches, and that includes allowing 3 goals in their last Europa League match. When playing at home, they have gone over 2.5 goals in their last 2 straight as well as 3 of their 4 matches there this season, scoring at least 2 goals in each of those. They are going up against a Man Utd side that has also been trending to the over in their recent matches. They have gone over 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 7 matches and their defense has not been great in these. They are coming off of a 3-0 loss to Tottenham in their last match and they have allowed 9 goals in their last 7 matches as well. When playing away from home, they have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3 matches as well. Man Utd already dropped points in their 1st match, drawing 1-1 against Twente, and that was a much weaker team to drop points against at home. They are going to need those points with this new League Phase so they will have no choice but to push for a result here or they will get themselves into trouble early. Porto has struggled to defend against better attacks so they are not going to keep Man Utd out of their net for 90 mins, but Man Utd has not been very good on defense themselves so Porto will find the net at home with that potent attack. Between these two sides, there will be enough goals in this match to push it over 2.5 goals.
UEFA Europa League: FC Porto/Manchester United over 2.5 goals, Rot. 224457