Arsenal is coming into this match with no recent trend to the over in their matches, but they have been in very good form recently. They have gone under 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 4 matches, but they have also won 5 of their last 6 matches and they are going to be pushing for the win here. They are currently sitting in 4th place which has them 6 points behind the leaders, but their opponent is currently 4 points ahead in 2nd place so this is a big match for Arsenal to gain some ground and get back into the title race. Their attack has been very potent as they have scored at least 2 goals in 5 of their last 7 matches, but their defense has not been great with 3 goals allowed in their last 3 matches and 8 goals allowed in their last 6 matches. When playing at home, they have been trending more to the over as well, going over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches there. They are going up against a Liverpool side that has not been trending to the over in their recent matches, but they have also been in very good form recently. They have gone under 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 4 matches, but they have been in great form as they have won their last 8 straight matches and they have actually gone over 2.5 goals in 5 of those 8 matches. Their attack has been on fire in these matches as they have scored at least 2 goals in 6 of their last 8 matches, but their defense has not been conceding many goals. They have only allowed 1 goal in their last 4 matches, but that 1 goal came against Chelsea who has a very potent attack and Arsenal is similar in quality as one of the top teams in the league. Both teams have been very good on defense this season, but Arsenal has been falling behind in the title race and this is not a match they can afford to drop more points in when a win would make up a lot of ground for them. They are going to be pushing to break down this Liverpool defense and they will be able to do so at home, but they will also leave themselves open for Liverpool to attack. Even when these two meet, they have gone over 2.5 goals in each of their last 2 as well as 4 of their last 6 meetings. Between these two sides, there will be enough goals in this match to push it over 2.5 goals.
England Premier League: Arsenal/Liverpool over 2.5 goals, Rot. 200157