Louisiana Monroe is coming into this game with a 5-5 record this season and they are 3-3 in the conference. They have not been playing well in their recent games as they have lost their last 4 straight games. They are coming off of a 48-14 loss to Auburn in their last game, but prior to that they lost 3 straight conference games. Their defense has been awful in these games as well, allowing 28+ points in each of their last 4 and 38+ points in 3 of their last 4 games. Their offense has also been awful as they have scored 17 points or less in their last 2 straight as well as 3 of their last 4 games, and scoring has been a problem for them all season. They are going up against an Arkansas State team that is 6-4 this season and they are 4-2 in the conference. They are coming off of a 27-20 win on the road against Geirgia State in their last game and they have been heating up recently as they have won 3 of their last 4 games. Their offense has been very consistent in these games as they have scored 27+ points in 3 of their last 4 games. They have also played just 1 game at home in their last 5 straight, winning 34-31 against Troy, and they are a perfect 4-0 at home this season. They also have a very good run game that is averaging 157.6 rushing yards per game and 4.2 yards per carry so they are going to have success against this defense that is allowing 199.1 rushing yards per game and 4.8 yards per carry. ULM also has a very good run game as they are a run heavy team and they will also have success against this Arkansas State defense, but Arkansas State can also focus on stopping the run here as ULM does not have a good passing game and will be lost on offense without the run. Arkansas State has a much more reliable passing game this season with a quarterback in Jaylen Raynor who has been playing well and that will be the difference in this game as Arkansas State is going to have more options on offense here at home. Arkansas State will cover the spread in this game.