Louisville was so awful last season that they will be the same team again this season. They have not added to their team in better talent and they are still being inflated by the oddsmakers. Take the gift that the book is giving, the gift of Louisville that keeps on giving. Chattanooga is no better than this team but they did get some good transfers in the portal where it should be enough to cover this spread and perhaps grab the win. This game is a gift so take the points.

Louisville is 5-15 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. UT-Chattanooga is 31-16 ATS after a blowout win by 30 points or more since 1997. Louisville is 5-15 ATS as a favorite over the last 3 seasons. Louisville is 11-23 ATS in all home games over the last 3 seasons. Louisville is 3-11 ATS after playing a game as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons. Chattanooga are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games played on a Friday when playing on the road. Louisville are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games.

Best bet: take the points with Chattanooga.