Pittsburgh is very good at Heinz field and they face a struggling Jordon Love who has been in the league a few years but is playing in the starter position this season for the first time for Green Bay. The Packers are coming into this game with injuries on the offensive line and on the defense which puts them at a disadvantage against one of the best tough defenses in the Steelers. T J Watt is playing in the game for Pittsburgh and he is always a factor. Kenny Picket has been consistent and serviceable so far for the Steelers and has been pivotal late in games, making that clutch play that gets them the win. The Steelers at home are always a force so it will be tough for the Packers to come in here and get the win let alone cover the game. Love has proven to be terrible on the road despite getting their one lone win against Chicago, but so has everyone else. This is a key game for Pittsburgh to get some separation because they are in a three way tie for second place and are chasing the Ravens for top spot in the division. Look for them to be dialed in for this one.

The Steelers off a home win are 2-0 ATS this season. Pittsburgh are 3-2 ATS this season and 10-5 ATS in the last three seasons after having won 2 out of their last 3 games. Green Bay are 0-2 ATS off a home win this season.

Best bet: lay the points with Pittsburgh.