South Florida has been decent this season and they usually bounce back off a loss. They play Hofstra who are off a big wins against Wright State, Buffalo and High Point and this matchup is also a look ahead spot for Hofstra as they have Providence on deck. This may be a game where they overlook the road team and don't fire on all cylinders. The Pride's last two wins saw them give up over 155 combined points so they may have won the games offensively, but their defense didn't play well. The Bulls are feisty and can turn it on in games and they have had plenty of rest off their loss to Maine. They have also beaten this team in their last three games head to head. Take the underdog.

Hofstra are 0-6 SU in their last 6 games against an opponent in the American Athletic Conference conference. South Florida is 9-2 ATS in road games over the last 2 seasons. Hofstra is 22-39 ATS in home games after a combined score of 155 points or more since 1997. The Bulls are 7-3 ATS in the last three seasons after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite. Hofstra are 3-8 ATS in the last three seasons after allowing 75 points or more 2 straight games.

Best bet: take the points with South Florida.