North Florida is a decent feisty team that are shooting well and their offense is clicking. They face a Florida State team that have been inconsistent on defense and have struggled with their offense in games as they rack up some losses. Despite being at home, they will struggle in this game to fully cover this spread as North Florida is playing well. This game is such a heated rivalry between these two teams that has seen the Seminoles win the last four head to head games straight up so this is also a revenge spot for North Florida who will stay in this game and fight right to the buzzer. That is why they are good value in this spot as North Florida are 2-0 ATS this season as an underdog of 10 or more points.

Florida ST is 11-24 ATS after playing a game as favorite over the last 3 seasons. NFLA are 4-0 ATS this season off a home win. SFLA are 1-3 ATS in the last three seasons as a home favorite of 12.5 to 18 points. SFLA are 1-6 ATS in the last three seasons off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite.

Best bet: take the points with North Florida.