This game here has the best value on today's card, giving Southern Utah, the much better team, such a short line when Mack's power ratings have Utah State favored by much more. Such a great spot for the home team who have a high powered offense. This team is much better than their record shows as they have lost close games to better teams by not much, and they are in these games fighting and covering them as well. They did lose a squeaker game on the road in overtime to a good Montana State team by one point the other night, so this is the spot where they will bounce back at home and get that game back with a win today against this average team. The Thunderbirds are just the better team on both sides of the ball as they face a lackluster Middle Tennessee team who come into this game off a thrashing from St. Mary's. This is their second road game this week and a tough spot to be in before the holidays. It is hard to see where the motivation will come from for the Blue Raiders as this team struggles to get to .500, and still haven't won on the road yet this season.

Middle Tenn ST is 3-12 ATS in road games over the last 2 seasons. Middle Tenn St is 1-7 ATS after 3 consecutive non-conference games this season. Southern Utah is 13-4 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. MTST are 0-2 ATS as an underdog this season. MTST are 0-4 ATS this season after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread. MTST are 1-3 ATS this season after a loss by 10 points or more. MTST are 1-6 ATS this season after a game where they failed to cover the spread. Southern Utah are 6-2 ATS this season after a non-conference game. Southern Utah are 6-0 ATS this season after having lost 3 of their last 4 games. Southern Utah are 4-1 ATS this season off a road loss. SU are 2-0 ATS this season after a close loss by 3 points or less. SU are 5-1 ATS this season after playing a game as a road underdog.

Best bet: lay the points with Southern Utah.