Case Keenam has shown that he can still win games and that means the Texans have a great chance in this game at home. They face a Browns team that plays better defense at home than on the road. They are just a different team on the road, and Flacco, despite getting the win last week, has started to show some cracks, especially in the first half of last weeks game were he threw three interceptions. Now on the road, if he plays that way they will lose this game. The Texans are in a position to get a wild card spot and DeMeco Ryans has changed the culture for this team to a winning mindset. Ryans, a former defensive co-ordinator for the 49's will scheme up ways to shut down the Browns offense and getting points at home as the underdog is a value spot that can't be passed up.

Head to head, Houston is 8-2 ATS versus Cleveland in their last ten games and 6-4 straight up. Houston are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games against an opponent in the AFC conference. Houston are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games played in December. Cleveland are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games. Cleveland are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games against Houston. Cleveland is 4-14 ATS after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons. The Browns are 0-2 ATS this season and 0-3 ATS in the last three seasons as a road favorite of 7 points or less. The Browns are 1-5 ATS after allowing 150 or less passing yards in their last game. The Browns are 2-4 ATS this season off a home win. The Texans are 6-2 ATS this season as an underdog. The Texans are 3-0 ATS off a division game this season.

Best bet: take the points with Houston.