Drake is 11-2 so far this season and they have been a dominant force so far and now at home hosting a Red Birds team that has struggled in spots with their 8-5 record. This may just be too much offense for them to handle in this road spot. Drake is great at the charity stripe and creating turnovers, and making their shots as they create a lot of clean looks. Defensively they are solid. They will probably pour it on in this spot so take the home team. The last time they played Illinois State, they crushed them 82-51 and head to head own the series.

Illinois St. is 2-10 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. Illinois State is 0-8 ATS in road games versus good free throw shooting teams that are making over or equal to 72% of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. Illinois State are 0-1 ATS this season as a road underdog of 10 or more points. Drake are 4-2 ATS this season after a game where they failed to cover the spread. Drake are 12-0 SU in their last 12 games at home. Drake are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games against an opponent in the Missouri Valley conference.

Best bet: lay the points with Drake.