The Golden Lions should get it done in this game as they are the better team in the matchup and are at home despite what their record look likes. Alabama State may have more wins but the Golden Lions are averaging 86 points per game and with a 46.31% field goal percentage. They are much better at 3 point shooting and the free throw line so look for them to pull it out in the second half to win and cover. This is also a revenge game for the Golden Lions as they lost to Alabama State last season, and despite not having covered their last seven games, they are at home and will step up in this spot as they have played the tougher schedule.

Alabama State are 1-10 SU in their last 11 games on the road. Alabama State are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games against an opponent in the Southwestern Athletic conference. Alabama State are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games. Arkansas-Pine Bluff are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games. Arkansas-Pine Bluff are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games played in January. The Hornets are 1-4 ATS in the last three seasons off a road win. The Hornets are 1-5 ATS in the last three seasons after playing a game where both teams score 65 points or less. The Hornets are 2-8 ATS since 1997 after a close win by 3 points or less.

Best bet: take the points with Arkansas Pine Bluff.