The Lobos play their best ball at home and in this spot will win and cover against an Aztec's team who are not as strong on the road this season. The Lobos are off a loss and will want to get that win back at home at the Pit. Their defense can match San Diego States and they have the edge in offense. They have the home court advantage over SDST and its a tough place to play at and get a win so take the home favorite to bounce back hard. New Mexico has a 10-3 record against the spread this season when favored by 2 points or more. SDST are 1-4 ATS this season in road games and they are not as strong as last seasons team.

New Mexico is 9-3 ATS in its last 12. San Diego State are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games on the road. San Diego State are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on the road against New Mexico. New Mexico are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games at home. New Mexico are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games when playing at home against San Diego State. SDST is 2-11 ATS in a road game where the total is 150 to 159.5 since 1997. NM is 13-4 ATS on Saturday games over the last 3 seasons.

Best bet: lay the points with New Mexico.