This is a great value spot to get BYU at who are the better team in this matchup with the better skilled talented players. This first year in the Big 12 has been a wake up call for the Cougars. They are 0-2 in conference play and this team has some serious pride, they will be desperate to get a win today. They are off two tough games against very good opponents but they have a chance today to capitalize on this let down spot for UCF who pulled off the biggest upset so far against Kansas during the week. That game was a spirited effort and an emotional win, especially coming back in the second half, so their motivation may not be as high in this spot. These are perfect conditions for BYU to muscle their way into a win and cover as the better battle tested team who are way better on offense and defense.

BYU's ATS record is 11-4-0 this season. BYU has a 10-2 record against the spread this season when favored by 4.5 points or more. UCF has a 7-7-0 record against the spread this season. BYU are 15-4-1 ATS in their last 20 games. BYU are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games played on a Saturday when playing on the road. Central Florida are 2-13 ATS in their last 15 games played on a Saturday when playing at home. UCF are 1-4 ATS this season and 6-17 ATS in the last three seasons after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread. UCF are 2-5 ATS this season off a home win. UCF are 1-5 ATS this season after a game where they covered the spread.

Best bet: lay the points with BYU.