Kansas City has experience and a Superbowl pedigree so there is plenty of reasons to believe that they can beat a very good Ravens team. This Baltimore team looks so tough and stout on defense, and incredible on offense, that it may be hard to believe that there is a team left that can beat them. Kansas City relishes from the underdog spot. In fact, Kansas City is 2-0 ATS this season and 5-1 ATS in the last few seasons as an underdog. The Chiefs do well on less rest too as they are 8-4 ATS this season with 6 or less days rest. KC has been able to get to this spot with their offense which has improved all season, and their defense that they leaned on all season. Their defense is comparable to Baltimore's in that they allow less than 17.4 points per game on average. Of course, they have the best QB in the league as well. The Ravens do have some weaknesses. They don't cover the spread after a huge win, in fact, they are 0-4 ATS this season off a home blowout win by 21 points or more. The Ravens are 1-6 ATS in the last few seasons after allowing 50 or less rushing yards last game. The Ravens are 1-3 ATS this season and 3-13 ATS in the last few seasons after outrushing an opponent by 75 or more yards last game. There is every indication that KC can cover this spread so getting 4 points is great value in this spot.

Kansas City are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. Kansas City are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games against Baltimore. Kansas City are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games against Baltimore. Kansas City are 11-2 SU in their last 13 games on the road. Baltimore are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against an opponent in the AFC conference. Baltimore are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games against an opponent in the AFC West division.

Best bet: take the points with Kansas City.