New Mexico are a force when playing at home and the Pit is a tough place to get a win at in a hostile environment, so though Nevada is a good team this season, they haven't had great success at the Pit, especially covering a larger number. New Mexico have covered seven straight games at home this season so look for New Mexico to win and cover this game. New Mexico are 5-1 ATS this season after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite.

Nevada are 0-1 ATS this season and 1-5 ATS in the last few seasons as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points. Nevada are 2-4 ATS this season against conference opponents. Nevada are 0-2 ATS this season off a win against a conference rival. Nevada are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games. Nevada are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games played in January. New Mexico are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games. New Mexico are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games at home.

Best bet: lay the points with New Mexico.