The Nuggets already beat Miami this season and though they are on the road, the Nuggets have started to play much better in this second half, and are covering more road games. The Nuggets have won nine of their last ten games and they play a Heat team who are on a slider after losing three games consecutively. The Heat have also lost their last ten games as an underdog when at home while Denver are 6-0 ATS playing on the road versus Miami. The Nuggets have also won the last nine out of their ten meetings versus Miami. Miami may get up for this game as they still have some pride but Denver is in pre playoff mode and are starting to win games by larger margins on the road and taking down the better teams in the league. Miami are still without Herro and Love and Butler is probable for tonight's game, so the Nuggets should get this game too. Miami is 0-5 ATS this season as a home underdog of 6 points or less.

Miami is 1-9 ATS in home games against Northwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons. Miami are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games when playing at home against Denver. Miami are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games. Miami is 1-8 ATS in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent this season. Denver are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games. Denver are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games against Miami. Denver are 11-1 SU in their last 12 games against Miami.

Best bet: lay the points with Denver.