Iowa State are 21-10-1 ATS this season and one of the better teams in the Big 12 that can pose a threat in both tournaments. Baylor has to knock down every 3 pointer just about to get the edge over the Cyclones who defend that well, are only allowing 62 points per game. The Cyclones will be able to shoot against the Bears because they have issues on defense, especially at defending the rim. Iowa State have one of the best two way players in Lipsey and they have several guards that can make their shots. The Cyclones can control the pace in this game and methodically, can work their magic on defense to counter a lot of Baylor's offense to take down them down in this game. Baylor beat the Cyclones 70-68 in their only game this season so you know that Iowa State has circled this game and they are going to be looking for some big time revenge. Houston only had three losses this season and one of those losses was to the Cyclones while Baylor lost their game to Houston. Mack can't step in front of that.

Iowa State is 8-3-1 ATS in the last 12 games. Baylor is 1-3-1 ATS in the last five games. Head to head, Iowa State are 2-1 SU in their last three games and 3-0 ATS in their last three games. Baylor are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games against Iowa State. Baylor are 10-4 SU in their last 14 games against Iowa State. Iowa State are 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 games.

Best bet: lay the points with Iowa State.