South Florida is playing an old rival in this NIT match up and though South Florida didn't punch their ticket this season and got passed over after winning the regular season by the committee, they still have a winning record versus Central Florida and would love to beat them in this spot. They are 2-1 SU in their last three head to head matches and are 3-0 ATS in those games. This is a match up where the teams don't really like each other so both will get up for this rivalry. Getting +5.5 points is too much in this game for rivals and this game may come down to free throws or go to overtime. South Florida had the better season and UCF didn't in their new conference. These two have always clashed in the past and this is just too many points. Take the underdog.

South Florida are 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 games. South Florida are 16-2 SU in their last 18 games. South Florida are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Central Florida. Central Florida are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games. USF are 8-2 ATS as an underdog this season. USF are 2-1 ATS this season off an upset loss as a favorite. USF are 4-0 ATS this season after 2 straight games where they made 10 or more 3 point shots. UCF are 0-1 ATS this season and 0-3 ATS in the last few seasons as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points. UCF are 1-3 ATS this season in all tournament games.

Best bet: take the points with South Florida.