ndiana State got snubbed by the NCAA committee and they will probably be mad and motivated to show them that they should have been included. This team is so underrated and has one of the best offensive units on the floor where they are very good at making their shots, both 3's and 2's, they don't turnover the ball and get into foul trouble and play both defense and offense. SMU is only good at offensive rebounding but the Sycamores are so good they will check that with their solid defense. SMU also struggled to stay consistent throughout the season and had issues with their offensive scoring including shooting under 68% at the free throw line. The Sycamores are just to potent of a team to keep this game close with a struggling Mustangs team, especially at home where they are 12-1 SU. They should pull away and cover this spread.

SMU are 0-6 ATS in their last six games. Southern Methodist are 5-13 SU in their last 18 games on the road. Indiana State are 12-1 SU in their last 13 games at home. Indiana St. is 7-1 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. SMU is 2-11 ATS in March games over the last 3 seasons. SMU is 4-11 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread this season. SMU are 0-4 ATS in March games and 2-11 ATS in March games over the last few seasons. Indiana State are 3-0 ATS this season and 6-2 ATS in the last few seasons as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points.

Best bet: lay the points with Indiana State.