Purdue is the stronger team in this matchup. Purdue already beat Tennessee earlier this season back in November 71-67. Purdue as a team have just gotten better over the season and Edey and co have perfected their system and its working for them. This team has the ability to just pour it on at the end of the game to break away, while their defense holds down opponents, and they have done it time and again. This team is dangerous and motivated and there won't be revenge for Tennessee in this matchup or let down spot for Purdue. Take the better team. Purdue are 4-1 ATS this season as a neutral court favorite of 3.5 to 6 points. Purdue are 15-5 ATS since 1997 against SEC opponents.

Purdue are 8-2 ATS on a neutral court. Purdue are 28-18 ATS since 1997 in a NCAA tournament games. Tennessee are 10-5 ATS in their last 15 games. Tennessee are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games against an opponent in the Big Ten conference. Purdue are 9-1 SU in their last 10 games. The Vols are 7-15 ATS since 1997 when seeded 4 or higher in the NCAA tournament. Purdue are 5-2 ATS in the last few seasons and 16-10 ATS since 1997 when seeded 4 or higher in the NCAA tournament. The Vols are 0-2 ATS this season as a neutral court underdog of 6 points or less or pick. The Vols are 0-3 ATS this season when playing with one or less days rest. The Vols are 0-2 ATS this season when playing their 2nd road game in 3 days.

Best bet: lay the points with Purdue.