This game should go over the total. Both these pitchers are going to give up some runs today. The Reds offense is clicking right now and they face Turnball who struggled last season with an ERA of 7.26 when he was with Detroit, so this could be to the advantage of the Reds bats that are hot right now. On the flip side, Ashcroft was no better last season as he gave up runs too, despite being the better pitcher between the two today, he wasn't as consistent in games as in previous seasons. This game should see a lot of runs as their last three head to head games went over the total and they are 6-4 to the over in their last ten games against each other. This is also a better matchup for the Phillies bats to get hot in today.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games. The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games against Cincinnati. The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games against an opponent in the National League. The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 7 games. The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 7 games on the road. The total has gone OVER in 9 of Cincinnati's last 11 games against an opponent in the National League. Philadelphia is 11-2 to the Over in home games after a game where their bullpen blew a save over the last 2 seasons.

Best bet: take the Over the Total.