This is a game where the weather will be good for the balls to sail today. Both teams feature pitchers that do not have good records against each other. Zach Thompson ended the season with an ERA well over 8 and his form is not good, his arm is very unsteady so the Padres should be able to get their fair share of runs off of him as they do well against left handed pitchers. However, St. Louis is decent versus right handed pitchers like Musgrove who has an ERA well over 9, and have the fire power to get some runs off of Musgrove to get their offense going this season. Joe Musgrove has started the season giving up some runs in his two starts and is not looking good, has a little over 7 innings of work and pitched in two games so far that have a combined total of 37 runs. Take the Over.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego's last 7 games. Joe Musgrove is 17-7 to the OVER in the last three seasons at home when the total is 7 to 8.5. The Padres are 3-1 to the OVER this season after a loss. The Padres are 11-6 to the OVER in the last three seasons revenging 2 straight losses vs opponent as a home favorite.

Best bet: take the OVER the Total.