The Cavaliers have home advantage in this game 7, and so far the home teams have won their home games and nobody has won a road game yet. Orlando has covered in the last four games in this series. Orlando may be without Gary Harris, while the status of Jarrett Allen is still questionable for this game. Mitchell has been playing with a bad knee but that didn’t affect him in the last game, putting up 50 points. This team has struggled with rebounding in this series and Orlando beat them again on the boards in the last game, so they are going to have to step up the defense and Mitchell and Garland will have to bring it one more time and carry the team. They also need to stay out of foul trouble if they want a chance to win this game. Niang, Strus and LeVert did not shoot well in the last game and if any of them can get at least a few threes between them, then the Cavaliers will have the edge in this game. The Cavs shot 36% from the three, or 7 of 28, so they can see some improvement in that number at home. In fact, they haven't done well in their 3 point shooting in the entire series so they need to all step up in this win or go home spot. Mobley and Morris also had bad games so there should be some improvement from them. Cleveland should get better production from their bench in this game and they shoot much better when at home. They also should improve from 50% in their free throw shooting. Meanwhile, Orlando drops in offensive production on the road by 4 points per game so Banchero, Wagner and Suggs may not shoot as well on the road, and may struggle to drop their threes. At home, the Cavaliers defense is even better defending the 3 point line in the last few games, only allowing opponents 33% or less in their three point attempts. This team had an early exit last season, so expect the Cavaliers to bring their best effort in this do or die spot as their desire to win should be there, in this spot. The Cavaliers will also need Allen to play, and coupled with their playoff experience and the veteran Mitchell at the helm, should help them get the win and cover at home as they are the better team on paper, they just need to play like it.

Best bet: lay the points with Cleveland.