Dallas will want to close out this series at home where they play a more defensive game. In fact, the total has gone Under in 9 of Dallas' last 12 games at home. The Avalanche will be desperate to stave off elimination but they have been lackluster in their offense in the last two games and are shorthanded offensively in this game too. Dallas has also played 15 of their last 20 games under the total. These two have always put up more goals and the scores have gone over in many games but this game will be a more defensive effort on both sides so expect less goals, like a 4-2 game. Colorado is 22-12 to the Under when avenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite this season.

Best bet: take the Under the Total.