This is the rematch of the Commissioner's Cup and the Liberty are at home again playing from Barclays Center. This is also the last road game of a longer road stent for the Lynx so this could be a letdown spot for them. However, both teams have circled this game and both will get up for it again. The Lynx have such a stout stifling defense and they are still underdogs in this game despite beating the Liberty twice this season, and in the regular season game they were 17 point underdogs, so there is still some disrespect by the bookmakers. Head to head, the Lynx own the series, winning seven of their last ten games against each other, while going 6-3-1 against the spread in those ten games. The Lynx are a force on the road as they are second in road net efficiency and are beating teams on average by 9-10 points per game. The Liberty did beat the Dream 81-75 recently, but didn’t cover as 15 point favorites. The Liberty are 1-5 against the spread in their last six games and they are worse at home going 1-9 against the spread in their last ten home games. The Liberty are 4-12 against the spread in their last 16 games when they are favorites of 5 or more points, while the Lynx are 5-0 against the spread on the road in their last five. This rivalry game will be a competitive one as both teams match up well. The Lynx may not win or maybe they will, but they will certainly cover as defense travels and until the Liberty can beat this team, the value lies in taking the points.

Best bet: take the Minnesota Lynx and the points.